Erika Sema vs Haruna Arakawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Sema's recent form shows a second serve point win rate of 35.06%, slightly lower than Arakawa's 38.04%. Could this impact the outcome?
• Sema has a clear advantage in returning second serves, capturing 57.33% of points compared to Arakawa's 50.97%.
• In first serve returns, Sema again leads with 40.13%, while Arakawa manages 37.55%.
• When facing break points, Arakawa saves 45.74%, narrowly outperforming Sema’s 42.25%.
• Sema holds a slight edge in overall match performance over the last year, winning 55.36% compared to Arakawa's 52.31%.
• On hard surfaces, Sema's win rate is 55%, while Arakawa excels on indoor hard with 65%.
• Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments, with Sema winning 54.17% of her matches, marginally outreaching Arakawa's 49.09%.
• In head-to-head clashes, Sema has dominated, winning 5 out of 6 matches against Arakawa.
• During tight moments, Sema has been successful in their single tiebreak against Arakawa.
• Sema has faced slightly higher-ranked opponents on average compared to Arakawa in the past year.
• Arakawa slightly edges Sema in deciding set performance, winning 71% compared to Sema's 63%, offering an edge if the match reaches this stage.
• Sema has a better breakpoint conversion rate of 45.61%, against Arakawa's 41.56%.

Editorial Prediction (August 9, 2025, UTC):

As Sema and Arakawa prepare to meet again, Sema's edge in head-to-head history could play a decisive role. She has demonstrated consistent superiority over Arakawa in their past encounters.

The statistical advantage in return games and breakpoint conversion also tilts the prediction scales in Sema's favor. Her ability to win key points against better-ranked opponents underscores her competitive edge.

While Arakawa holds a strong record on indoor hard courts, the overall surface statistics still favor Sema. If the match extends into a deciding set, Arakawa's record may offer her some leverage, though Sema's historical performance against Arakawa remains compelling.

Considering the various factors and historical data, Sema appears to be the likely winner of this upcoming encounter.